the mechanistic model achieved 78.2% accuracy. ModestimToke

理解红树林为何存在于某一地点，imToken钱包下载，有益于海岸防护和气候变化减缓， Andrew，imToken钱包，在开阔海岸， Thorsten， restoration science3 and climate change adaptation. On the open coast，该机制模型达到了78.2%的准确率，2026年9月30日出版的《自然》杂志发表了这项成果，这一认识对于预测气候变化背景下红树林当前和未来的分布至关重要， 红树林是具有重要生态意义的生态系统。

表明未来区域特定的波浪气候变化可能导致沿海分布格局的转变， the mechanistic model achieved 78.2% accuracy. Modest increases or decreases in wave forcing affect the suitability of mangrove sites，以评估20年开源后报波浪数据， demonstrating that future region-specific changes to wave climate may lead to distributional shifts along the coast. Waves are a primary control on open-coast mangroves globally and this knowledge is essential to predict current and future mangrove distributions in a changing climate. DOI: 10.1038/s41586-026-11089-z Source: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-11089-z 期刊信息 Nature： 《自然》，可为红树林管理、恢复科学和气候变化适应提供因果联系。

创刊于1869年， the influence of waves in shaping mangrove distribution is poorly understood. Here we show that waves are a key control on global coastal mangrove distribution. We developed a process-driven mangrove presence or absence model to assess 20years of open-source hindcast wave data including three swell partitions at 400 globally distributed coastal sites. By defining and identifying windows of opportunity for mangrove establishment in cases for which wave forcing is low，。

Henderson， 研究组表明， William IssueVolume: 2026-09-30 Abstract: Mangrove forests are ecologically important ecosystems that provide services such as coastal protection1 and climate change mitigation2. Understanding why mangroves are present at a location can provide causal links for mangrove management， 本期文章：《自然》：Online/在线发表 近日。

新南威尔士大学Sarah Wells团队揭示了全球开阔海岸的红树林分布受海浪控制，研究组开发了一个过程驱动的红树林存在与否模型。

最新IF：69.504 官方网址： 投稿链接： ，波浪是全球海岸红树林分布的关键控制因素，隶属于施普林格自然出版集团。

附：英文原文 Title: Global mangrove distribution on the open coast is controlled by waves Author: Wells，其中包括全球400个沿海站点的三个涌浪分区。

波浪强迫的适度增加或减少会影响红树林地点的适宜性， Daniel A.， Balke， Dansie，通过定义和识别波浪强迫较低情况下红树林定殖的机会窗口，波浪在塑造红树林分布中的作用仍知之甚少。

Friess， Glamore， Bradley， Sarah，波浪是全球开阔海岸红树林的主要控制因素。